Poll Me Twice, Shame On Me
Conversation
1 member0 replies
-
Correlated polling errors can cross state lines
The episode considers what polling errors might appear in November. Errors aren't always independent because turnout assumptions and nonresponse patterns can affect several states together. How should a forecast model represent the chance that multiple Senate estimates move in the same direction?
After Poddy editorial starter Based on the episode show notes.
No replies yet. Be the first to reply.
Log in to reply.